Injuries: Doing the Math

In this compressed 66 game/124 day NBA season, injuries will play a much bigger part than usual.  With the news this week that San Antonio Spurs swingman Manu Ginobili will miss two months with a broken hand and that Memphis Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph will miss 6-8 weeks with knee injury, the calculus in the Western Conference changes completely.

Last season, a two month absence is 25 games, which out of an 82 game run means 30.4% of the campaign.  In this season’s compressed run, a two month absence means 30 games or 45.4% of the sked.  The Spurs will be without for nearly half of the season and the schedulemakers allow them any time to adjust to Manu’s absence.  The Spurs play five games in the next seven days including tilts with playoff contenders like Dallas, Denver and Houston as well as road contests at Oklahoma City and Milwaukee.  The nucleus of the team is already long in tooth, so this will be a severe test for the club.

Randolph’s injury is equally devastating.  The Griz are an old school, throw the ball in the post and proceed kind of team and without their best post player, they will have fewer easy shots, fewer open outside shots and way fewer rebounds.  They will be without Randolph for nearly a third of their season.  They’ve won their first two full games without him, but the schedule won’t always serve up Sacramento and Minnesota.

The prolonged absence of Randolph and Ginobili could result in the Grizzlies and Spurs battling it out for one of the final playoff spots in the West rather than battling for homecourt advantage in a postseason rematch.  

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About jmartin437

I've worked in and around the world of high end cheese for 27 years. I've been everything from a department manager who hired and fired and trained staffs to a weekend warrior who shows up ties on an apron the middle of a rush and talks to customers and cleans up the place. I enjoy it all, and I especially like my current situation conducting informal seminars about cheese at area bars and in class at the 92nd St. Y. The current schedule is always up at thejoyofcheese.blogspot.com. In addition I conduct private events that are perfect to lead off birthday parties for foodies and sommeliers and also they make great entertainment for corporate team building events and associates meetings at law firms. In addition, I've been a freelance journalist for 27 years. Currently my profiles of leading musicians and filmmakers appear in the Wall Street Journal and www.theroot.com. I also wrote about sports for the Root, and for five loooong years, which included the entirety of the Isiah Thomas Knicks era, I wrote about the NBA for the New York Sun. I enjoyed writing about basketball so much that I now do it here at rotations for free.
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